LOCAL WEATHER -- MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 29, 2014

Discussion:

It should be a pleasant day today with partly cloudy skies and temperatures a bit above normal. A coastal trough continues to sit just offshore and will be the catalyst for scattered convection today along the coast, but this activity should remain southeast of the target area. Damp soils from recent rains will promote patchy fog development overnight into Tuesday morning. Moisture levels will be a little higher tomorrow over the eastern half of the target area and isolated convection will be possible with daytime heating. By Wednesday the chances for rain should disappear as drier air works into the area. Our attention then turns to Thursday as a strengthening trough begins to push across the southern Plains. A cold front is expected to move across the area Thursday night into Friday morning with the potential for a line of showers and thunderstorms to accompany it. Drier and cooler air moves into the area for Friday into the weekend with clear skies, highs in the low to mid 80s and lows in the upper 50s to low 60s.

For the period October 4-8, CPC is forecasting a 33% probability of above normal temperatures and a 33% probability of below normal precipitation.
For the period October 6-12, CPC is forecasting a 50% probability of above normal temperatures and near normal preecipitation.

Seeding operations:

Seeding operations are possible Tuesday afternoon.
So far in 2014 there have been 38 days of seeding operations: three in May, seven in June, ten in July, seven in August and 11 in September.

Aviation:

Generally VFR through the period with patchy mid-level clouds passing by at/above 8000 feet and a developing Cu field at/above 3500 feet. Patchy fog overnight may result in brief MVFR/IFR conditions.

Forecast:

Today: Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 80s to around 90. NE winds 5-10 mph.

Tonight: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog possible overnight. Lows in the upper 60s to low 70s. E & SE winds 5 mph.

Tuesday: Patchy fog possible early in the morning. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm eastern areas. Highs in the upper 80s to low 90s. SE winds 5-10 mph.

Tuesday night: Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming mostly cloudy overnight. Lows in the upper 60s to low 70s. SE winds 5-10 mph.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy early in the morning then clearing. Highs in the low 90s. SE winds 10-15 mph.