Discussion:

A complex of showers and thunderstorms that had its origins east of Lubbock yesterday afternoon is currently ongoing over the western portions of south Texas. The complex is being supported by both the Mesoscale Convective Vortex (MCV) that developed as a result of the complex of storms and a shortwave disturbance seen on water vapor imagery southwest of the Big Bend. The complex will slowly move east this morning with weakening continuing. Any outflow boundary associated with this feature will likely be able to regenerate scattered convection with daytime heating this afternoon across the area. In addition, there should be more convective activity to our northwest later today and this may try to make a move toward our area tonight. Saturday will see unstable conditions continuing so there will be a few showers and thunderstorms across mainly the western half of the target area. More stable conditions return on Sunday with precipitation chances back to nil. Ridging will remain in place through about mid-week. After that, the western U.S. trough should begin moving into the central part of the country and rain chances should creep up once again as disturbances move through the trough and across the state.

For the period May 29-June 2, CPC is forecasting a 33% probability of above normal temperatures and a 60% probability of below normal precipitation.
For the period May 31-June 6, CPC is forecasting near normal temperatures and a 50% probability of below normal precipitation.

Seeding operations: