LOCAL WEATHER -- THURSDAY, DECEMBER 31, 2015

Discussion:

Cloud cover has increased across the area as moist southwesterly flow is now occurring across Texas. The lower levels of the atmosphere are still dry, but this will change over time as the first of two disturbances moves across the area. Initially tonight, sprinkles or even virga will occur over the area, but this will serve to moisten the lower levels of the atmosphere such that, by New Years Day, areas of light rain should be present. It will be quite cool with highs today in the 50s, and even cooler on New Years Day with only 40s expected. This trend continues into Saturday as another disturbance moves across the area, enhancing rain chances. Again, very cool with highs only in the 40s. Clearing is expected on Sunday with the sun finally returning. A gradual warmup is expected for next week along with rain chances returning by Tuesday as another disturbance approaches the area.

For the period January 5-9, CPC is forecasting a 40% probability of above normal temperatures and a 50% probability of above normal precipitation.
For the period January 7-13, CPC is forecasting a 33-40% probability of above normal temperatures and a 40% probability of above normal precipitation.

Seeding operations:

Seeding operations are not expected through Saturday.
So far in 2015, there have been 38 days of seeding operations: one in April, two in May, 13 in June, three in July, nine in August, nine in September and one in October.

Aviation:

VFR with bases at/around 5000 feet. Could see some patchy MVFR ceilings overnight.

Forecast:

Today: Mostly cloudy. Highs in the low to mid 50s. NE winds 10-15 mph.

New Year's Eve: Mostly cloudy. Chance of light rain overnight. Lows in the mid 40s. NE winds 10-15 mph.

New Year's Day: Rain. Temperature steady in the mid 40s. N winds 10-20 mph.

Friday night: Rain. Lows in the upper 30s to around 40. N winds 10-15 mph.

Saturday: Rain. Highs in the low to mid 40s. N winds 10-15 mph.