LOCAL WEATHER -- WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 22, 2014

Discussion:

An upper level trough extending from northern Mexico into the Rockies has been bringing areas of rain to western Texas and the Panhandle but has not had much effect on our weather. The aforementioned trough will begin to weaken and lift off to the northeast over the next couple of days while an upper level high will begin to build in from the southwest. Our string of warm, dry days will continue at least for the next week as storm systems remain well away from south-central Texas. This weekend some areas may approach record highs as temperatures will flirt with 90 degrees. As the airmass will remain relatively dry through this weekend, overnight lows will still drop to around 60 degrees. Moisture will begin to increase by early next week which will result in warmer low temperatures and slightly cooler high temperatures.

For the period October 27-31, CPC is forecasting a 60% probability of above normal temperatures and a 33-40% probability of below normal precipitation.
For the period October 29-November 4, CPC is forecasting a 50% probability of above normal temperatures and near normal to a 33% probability of below normal precipitation.

Seeding operations:

Seeding operations are unlikely through Friday.
**As of October 1st, the target area shrinks due to the end of the yearly contract with the EAA (Uvalde, Medina, Bandera, Bexar counties) and the begin of the peanut harvest. The target area is now confined to Bee, McMullen and Karnes counties and Atascosa County south of TX 97. This will remain the case until the end of the peanut harvest, which runs roughly through Christmas.**
So far in 2014 there have been 38 days of seeding operations: three in May, seven in June, ten in July, seven in August and 11 in September.

Aviation:

VFR through the period with some SCT Cu at/above 3500 feet this afternoon along with some cloudiness above 15,000 feet, mainly western areas.

Forecast:

Today: Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 80s. E winds 5-10 mph.

Tonight: Partly cloudy. Lows in the low 60s. E winds 5 mph.

Thursday: Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid to upper 80s. E winds 5-10 mph.

Thursday night: Partly cloudy. Lows in the low 60s. E winds 5 mph.

Friday: Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid to upper 80s. E & SE winds 5-10 mph.